If unilateralist interventionism was the earned criticism of the George W. Bush administration, President Obama's foreign policy legacy will be one of multilateralist vacillation and retreat.
In a setback for China, the Permanent Court of Arbitration based in The Hague ruled last Thursday that it has jurisdiction to hear the case brought by the Philippines over disputed islands in the South China Sea.
While Washington seems to have won the first round of its confrontation with Beijing in disputed South China Sea waters, tensions are likely to remain high and geopolitical risks to mount as China beefs up its military presence.
With Beijing determined to expand its influence and Washington intent on maintaining the status quo, tension in the South China Sea is here to stay.
After months of internal debate, the White House permitted the Defense Department to sail one ship near a reef in the SCS that China claims. The Chinese reaction shows Beijing has no intention of backing down. Now the Obama administration is debating what to do next.
PH slams China actions; China Defends Its Activity of Installing Two Lighthouses in disputed South China Sea; U.S. deploys advanced missile defense ship to Japan; Policymakers to decide South China Sea patrols; Australia should send warships to South China Sea.
-(NYPost 01/11) China takes over the sea and ‘Bamlet’ dithers - again: The President has responded to “wildfires” with a water pistol. -(IBTimes 01/11) Armed Chinese Fighter Jets Train Over Controversial Spratly Islands: The armed jets that flew training missions took off from China's recently constructed airstrip on the Spratly Islands
International affairs If China militarises the Spratly Islands and there is a clash with the US navy, almost one-third of global trade will be at risk.
Forecast: (1) China will continue to push the envelope in the SCS as controlling the waters is key to its national security strategy; (2) The US will be limited in its ability to respond because of its concerns about escalation and because of China's nuclear capabilities; (3) Beijing will lobby Washington to keep Japan out of the dispute, but Tokyo will remain involved.
The danger of the marine ecosystem destruction as a result of China’s construction of artificial islands is aggravated by the harm already caused to the marine environment by human activities. According to data, 70% of reefs in the South China Sea are in the process of decomposition, and the fish resources have declined by 40%.